Possible scenario
Jackson Gains Ground
30% Chance
Jackson could consolidate a modest but real advantage if the bribery-related story keeps dominating local coverage. Collins' long-standing brand as an independent Republican weakens if voters conclude she was less forthcoming about the probe.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.3%
- Energy -0.2%
- Healthcare -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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