Possible scenario
Republicans Contain Damage
22% Chance
Whatley stops broad television advertising but preserves enough field, digital, and earned-media activity to avoid a total collapse. Cooper still leads, but Republicans prevent the race from becoming a rout and protect some down-ballot candidates.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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