Threat Defused Politically

Benjamin Netanyahu contains the crisis by keeping the Hamas prisoner alive and separating the death-penalty issue from any Defense Ministry reshuffle. Ben-Gvir claims rhetorical victory with tougher prison measures, but the coalition avoids a step that could endanger hostages or trigger international backlash.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.