Possible scenario
Storm Worsens Inland
18% Chance
The nor'easter tracks closer to shore or stalls, extending damaging winds, heavy rain, and transportation disruption across the Northeast corridor. This creates a broader one- to two-day drag on travel, logistics, retail foot traffic, and local services.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -1.0%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.9%
- Utilities -0.6%
- Industrials -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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