Possible scenario
Flooding Escalates
25% Chance
The storm surge and wind field prove more damaging than expected along New Jersey, Staten Island, Long Island, and low-lying parts of New York City. Restoration costs, localized business closures, and claims risk rise, but the event remains regional rather than systemic.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -1.0%
- Consumer Services -0.7%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.3%
- Finance -0.2%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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