Possible scenario
Regulatory Clampdown
27% Chance
Altman’s admission gives regulators a concrete quote to justify subpoenas, hearings, and possible limits on AI companions for minors. The near-term market impact is concentrated in software and consumer AI platforms rather than broad macro assets.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.2%
- Consumer Services -0.2%
Tickers
- MSFT-1.0%
- GOOG-1.0%
- META-0.9%
- SNAP-0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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