Possible scenario
Demand Stays Weak
25% Chance
The processed-order shortfall may show that headline capacity exceeded actual trader willingness to post margin on the new venue. Liquidity remains concentrated on incumbent crypto derivatives platforms rather than moving quickly to PaperTrade.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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