Possible scenario
Security-Friendly Continuity
40% Chance
Clayton uses his intelligence post to add national-security coordination without reversing the industry-friendly framework built under David Sacks. Markets treat the appointment as a modest positive for federal AI contractors and large cloud providers with security clearances.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.9%
- Industrials +0.7%
- Business Services +0.4%
Tickers
- PLTR+3.1%
- ORCL+1.2%
- MSFT+1.0%
- +0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.