Possible scenario
Prolonged Offshore Disruption
25% Chance
Isaias tracks close enough to core Gulf production areas to damage power, subsea equipment, pipelines or offshore facilities. Shut-ins persist beyond the initial safety window, creating a more material short-term supply shock.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +1.1%
Tickers
- CVX-1.3%
- SHEL-1.2%
- -0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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