Possible scenario
Court Restructuring
45% Chance
The 88% drawdown signals investors are pricing in a balance-sheet restructuring rather than a normal equity recovery. Weak attendance, widening losses, asset sales, and the Goliath fatality leave Six Flags with limited room to refinance on acceptable terms.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.5%
Tickers
- FUN-13.0%
- PRKS-1.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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