Possible scenario
Ethics Scrutiny Builds
27% Chance
Democrats use the canceled trip to connect Johnson to earlier controversies over luxury travel and donor access in Washington. The issue becomes a late-campaign ethics storyline, especially if records suggest outside funding, lobbyist involvement, or poor internal approval controls.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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