Possible scenario
Permitting Fight Returns
24% Chance
Environmental organizations and some Alaska Native stakeholders challenge the approval under federal environmental and land-use laws. This scenario is plausible because a project of this scale faces litigation risk even after presidential backing.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.8%
- Industrials -0.5%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.3%
Tickers
- -0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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