Possible scenario
Fossil Transition Fight
20% Chance
The Fiji talks reopen the dispute created by COP28's first fossil-fuel transition language. Pacific leaders and the EU push for a clearer phase-down roadmap, while producer states seek to keep the language broad and voluntary.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.1%
- Energy -0.1%
- Utilities +0.1%
Tickers
- XOM-0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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