Possible scenario
1.5C Language Advances
38% Chance
Pacific Islands Forum members, AOSIS, the EU and vulnerable African states succeed in keeping the 1.5C threshold central to the pre-COP negotiating text. The likely result is stronger political language on emissions ambition, but not a legally binding near-term constraint on fossil fuel production.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.3%
- Utilities +0.2%
Tickers
- XOM-0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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