Possible scenario
Gradual Supply Return
27% Chance
Saudi Arabia and Russia conclude that prices can absorb a controlled return of some production. This would fit a market in which non-OPEC supply is rising and OPEC+ members want to defend market share without triggering a sharp selloff.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.9%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.3%
- Industrials +0.1%
Tickers
- XOM-0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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