Possible scenario
Cuts Stay Intact
38% Chance
Russia and Saudi Arabia use the Oct. 12 meeting to reinforce OPEC+ supply discipline rather than alter policy. This is the most likely outcome because both countries have repeatedly favored managing supply to stabilize Brent when demand signals from China and the IEA have softened.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.7%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Tickers
- XOM+0.7%
- +0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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