Possible scenario
Rule Takes Effect
45% Chance
The Labor Department finalizes and begins enforcing the higher entry-level H-1B wage threshold, replacing the blocked $100,000 fee with a wage-based restriction that is more defensible in court. Employers adjust hiring plans rather than abandon the program, with the biggest burden falling on IT services firms and lower-paid entry roles.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -1.2%
- Technology -0.9%
- Healthcare -0.1%
Tickers
- CTSH-3.2%
- ACN-0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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