Possible scenario
Courts Narrow Rule
30% Chance
Business groups and universities challenge the wage rule, arguing that the Labor Department exceeded statutory authority or failed to justify the methodology. Courts are receptive because judges have already blocked the separate $100,000 H-1B fee, creating a meaningful chance of delay or narrowing.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +1.0%
- Technology +0.6%
- Healthcare +0.1%
Tickers
- CTSH+2.8%
- ACN+0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.3%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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