Possible scenario
Extended Kansas Slowdown
28% Chance
Raids and fear of detention keep absenteeism elevated at large beef plants around Dodge City, Garden City, Liberal and Holcomb. Packers cancel shifts, raise wages and rely on temporary staffing, lifting costs and tightening near-term beef supply.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -1.3%
- Consumer Services -0.3%
Tickers
- TSN-3.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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