Possible scenario
Gradual LNG Reset
45% Chance
Vietnam keeps LNG in its power plan but accepts that the original 18-project timetable is unrealistic. The government focuses on bankability fixes, including power purchase agreements, fuel cost pass-through, and foreign-exchange risk allocation, allowing only a handful of projects to advance before 2028.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities +0.3%
- Industrials +0.2%
- Energy +0.2%
Tickers
- AES+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.