Possible scenario
Lean Office Continuity
44% Chance
Barbera Thornhill takes over the State Department trafficking office without a major rebuilding effort after the 70% staff cut. The office preserves the annual Trafficking in Persons Report and diplomatic engagement, but with fewer country specialists, grants staff and field contacts.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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