Possible scenario
Case Proceeds In Court
25% Chance
If settlement talks fail, the lawsuit is likely to move through motions practice and discovery in state or federal court. The outcome would depend heavily on emails, personnel records, zoning files, police reports, or public-meeting evidence tied to the alleged bias.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.