Possible scenario
Severe Urban Flooding
25% Chance
A higher-rainfall band stalls over populated areas, causing more damaging flash floods in metro Phoenix, Tucson, El Paso or Albuquerque. The event remains regional, but insured losses, emergency declarations and logistics interruptions become more visible for exposed sectors.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.4%
- Consumer Services -0.4%
- Finance -0.2%
- Industrials -0.2%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
Tickers
- LUV-0.6%
- -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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