Possible scenario
Russia Defends India Share
18% Chance
Moscow responds to the U.S.-Venezuela-India opening by offering deeper discounts or more flexible terms to Indian buyers. The result is a competitive fight for Indian refinery runs rather than a clean replacement of Russian crude.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
Tickers
- CVX+0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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