Possible scenario
Huawei Supply Lock-In
45% Chance
DeepSeek becomes the anchor customer for Huawei's Ascend 960DT, accelerating China's shift away from Nvidia hardware for frontier AI training and inference. Huawei gains credibility as a full-stack AI supplier, while other Chinese cloud and model firms face tighter access to the newest domestic accelerators.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.7%
Tickers
- NVDA-3.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.5%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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