Possible scenario
Coercion Exception Recognized
42% Chance
The Court rules that compelled support under threat of death or serious harm does not automatically count as voluntary material support for terrorism-related deportation bars. This is the most likely outcome if several justices focus on the absurdity of punishing victims coerced by the Taliban or similar groups.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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