Possible scenario
Crypto Agenda Advances
38% Chance
Larsen's $22.5 million expands the already well-funded crypto political operation and increases pressure on lawmakers who sit on banking, finance, and agriculture committees. The most likely policy result is incremental momentum for market-structure, custody, and stablecoin rules rather than a sweeping deregulation package.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.6%
- Technology +0.3%
Tickers
- COIN+2.0%
- +1.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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