Possible scenario
Rachel Weakens Quickly
45% Chance
The most likely outcome is that Rachel behaves more like a fast-moving tropical remnant than a prolonged disaster. Southern California sees heavy rain, hazardous surf, scattered outages and road closures, but impacts remain broadly comparable to or less severe than Tropical Storm Hilary in 2023.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
- Finance +0.1%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
- Utilities +0.1%
Tickers
- DIS+0.2%
- HD+0.1%
- +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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