Possible scenario
Localized Flood Emergency
30% Chance
Rachel produces a more disruptive but still regional disaster, with flash flooding concentrated in vulnerable valleys, burn scars and low-lying urban areas. Casualties and property damage rise, but the event does not become a national macro shock.
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -0.7%
- Consumer Services -0.6%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.4%
- Finance -0.3%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- -0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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