Possible scenario
Targeted Campaign Continues
40% Chance
Washington treats the 17 visa revocations as part of a continuing anti-corruption campaign rather than a rupture with Latin American governments. The State Department keeps using Section 7031(c) tools against former ministers, judges, legislators and relatives of senior politicians, with limited direct market impact.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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