Possible scenario
Political Inquiry Opens
20% Chance
Opposition lawmakers use the public-record contradiction to demand documents on government contacts with Intel. The inquiry is politically damaging for Netanyahu but has limited direct market effect unless it changes grant approvals or Intel's operating assumptions.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- INTC-1.6%
- TSEM-0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.