Possible scenario
Contractor Scrutiny Expands
18% Chance
The arrest clarifies the intrusion path and puts renewed focus on how contractor credentials and personnel systems were managed. Congressional and DOJ oversight would concentrate on Accenture and other federal IT-service providers rather than on the broader equity market.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -0.6%
- Technology -0.3%
Tickers
- ACN-2.6%
- BAH-1.1%
- SAIC-1.0%
- LDOS-1.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.