Possible scenario
Race heads overtime
22% Chance
Grant's rescue effort is enough to prevent a clear Hamilton breakaway but not enough to put Marshall safely ahead. The contest becomes a high-stakes recount or legal fight, especially if Senate control depends on Kansas.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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