Possible scenario
Grant steadies Marshall
35% Chance
Chris Grant's hiring professionalizes the late-stage campaign, sharpens message discipline, and gives the Senate Leadership Fund's $14 million rescue effort a clearer structure. Marshall remains damaged by abortion-related attacks and the Epstein-files ad blitz, but Republicans regain enough rural and evangelical support to keep the race winnable.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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