Possible scenario
Full Ban Revived
18% Chance
Public backlash after the blocked vote could force another attempt at a comprehensive ban. Passage would still require overcoming leadership resistance, drafting disputes over spouses and dependent children, and disagreements over enforcement.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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