Possible scenario
Ban Stalls Again
42% Chance
The most likely path is that the failed vote becomes another episode in the long-running congressional ethics fight, with no binding law enacted before the next major legislative window. Both parties blame each other, but leadership has little incentive to spend floor time on a divisive internal-reform bill.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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