Possible scenario
Juvenile Case Resolution
44% Chance
The most likely path is that prosecutors keep the case in Multnomah County juvenile court because the suspect is 15 and the incident is contained to one Portland school. The domestic terrorism charge remains central, but the practical outcome turns on intent, injuries, prior history, and psychiatric evaluations.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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