Possible scenario
Recount Decides Race
16% Chance
The race remains inside recount territory after the initial canvass, delaying a final call. Washington's vote-by-mail system and ballot-curing process make the final margin dependent on small batches from Clark, Cowlitz, and Lewis counties.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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