Possible scenario
Braun Narrowly Flips
39% Chance
John Braun converts the 46%-44% polling edge into a narrow general-election win in Washington's 3rd District. The outcome is plausible because WA-03 remains culturally competitive, Donald Trump previously carried the district, and Republican turnout improves in Lewis, Cowlitz, and rural Clark County precincts.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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