Possible scenario
Deal Fractures
25% Chance
House Republicans press for changes that Senate Democrats and the White House view as too favorable to fossil-energy projects. The bipartisan Senate coalition weakens, and the scheduled post-election vote becomes uncertain or symbolic.
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.7%
- Utilities -0.6%
- Industrials -0.4%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.2%
Tickers
- NEE-1.0%
- KMI-1.0%
- -0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.