Possible scenario
Swiss compromise emerges
45% Chance
UBS uses its review of foreign options as leverage while remaining anchored in Switzerland. The Federal Council, FINMA and parliamentary leaders narrow the new liquidity-backstop tax and capital rules to avoid pushing the country's largest bank toward a formal exit plan.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- UBS+0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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