Possible scenario
Brown Clear Victory
44% Chance
Sherrod Brown converts his polling lead into a decisive comeback win over Jon Husted. Strong Democratic turnout in Cuyahoga, Franklin, Lucas, and Hamilton counties offsets Republican margins in rural Ohio.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
Secondary impacts
- Industrials +0.2%
- Healthcare +0.2%
- Energy -0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
- Finance
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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