Possible scenario
El Niño Rekindles Haze
32% Chance
The forecast strong El Niño keeps Indonesia unusually dry, allowing peat and forest fires to reignite after temporary containment. Cross-border haze again affects Malaysia and Singapore, reviving diplomatic criticism of Jakarta's fire-prevention cuts.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -1.7%
- Consumer Non-Cyclicals -0.8%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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