Possible scenario
Incumbents counter quickly
19% Chance
Existing market-infrastructure providers respond by emphasizing interoperability, legal finality, and operational resilience. Solana remains influential, but the market fragments across DTCC, Nasdaq, bank-led networks, and public-chain standards.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.3%
- Technology +0.1%
Tickers
- NDAQ+0.7%
- +0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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