Allied Deterrence Response

Washington, Seoul, and Tokyo respond with visible but calibrated deterrence steps, including surveillance flights, missile-defense drills, and joint statements. This is plausible because North Korea's September sequence follows a period of reduced U.S.-South Korea drills, creating pressure on the allies to demonstrate readiness.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.