Possible scenario
Bass Comeback Builds
35% Chance
Karen Bass turns the LAPD video into a broader argument that Raman lacks the judgment to manage City Hall and public safety. The race shifts from Raman's advantage to a narrow Bass lead as older voters and moderate Democrats consolidate behind the incumbent.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.