Possible scenario
Congress Expands Probe
40% Chance
Congressional committees and the State Department inspector general broaden the inquiry into whether Embassy reporting was altered to favor Benjamin Netanyahu. The most likely outcome is an institutional probe focused on document integrity and ethics rather than an immediate rupture in U.S.-Israel policy.
Secondary impacts
- Industrials -0.2%
Tickers
- LMT-0.5%
- RTX-0.4%
- GD-0.4%
- BA-0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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