Possible scenario
Demand Peak Prevails
28% Chance
The IEA, major consumers, and climate-policy advocates continue to challenge OPEC's demand assumptions. Faster EV adoption, efficiency gains, and policy support for electrification keep investors cautious about long-lived oil and gas assets.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.5%
- Utilities +0.2%
Tickers
- TTE-0.5%
- -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.