Major Cargo Loss

A less likely but plausible outcome is that the blaze spreads through multiple vehicle decks, making the vessel or cargo uneconomic to recover. This would echo earlier car-carrier fires in 2023 and 2025, but the market impact remains sector-specific rather than macro-systemic.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.