Possible scenario
Review Delays Rule
18% Chance
Political or legal scrutiny could slow the CFTC's shift away from offchain copies without fully stopping it. Consumer advocates, state regulators or congressional committees may press the agency on auditability, insolvency records and examiner access.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.2%
- Technology -0.1%
Tickers
- COIN-1.7%
- CME-0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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